AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers: predictions, H2H and market odds

AFC Wimbledon have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (0.88 expected goals for, 1.55 against). Doncaster Rovers have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.64 expected goals for, 1.37 against).

Both teams scored in 20% of AFC Wimbledon's recent matches and 70% of Doncaster Rovers's; 40% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings AFC Wimbledon won 4, Doncaster Rovers won 3 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Doncaster Rovers.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. Kepler's model projects 1.28–1.18 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.