Zagłębie Lubin vs Wisła Płock: predictions, H2H and market odds

Zagłębie Lubin have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.19 expected goals for, 1.12 against). Wisła Płock have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.36 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Zagłębie Lubin's recent matches and 50% of Wisła Płock's; 40% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Zagłębie Lubin won 3, Wisła Płock won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 2 Mar 2026, finished Zagłębie Lubin 2–0 Wisła Płock.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 45%. Kepler's model projects 1.29–0.77 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.