Jagiellonia Białystok vs Wisła Płock: predictions, H2H and market odds

Jagiellonia Białystok have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.35 expected goals for, 1.56 against). Wisła Płock have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.24 expected goals for, 1.37 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Jagiellonia Białystok's recent matches and 40% of Wisła Płock's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Jagiellonia Białystok won 2, Wisła Płock won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Jagiellonia Białystok 1–2 Wisła Płock.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.71–0.83 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.