Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok: predictions, H2H and market odds

Zagłębie Lubin have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.29 expected goals for, 1.19 against). Jagiellonia Białystok have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.37 expected goals for, 1.60 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Zagłębie Lubin's recent matches and 60% of Jagiellonia Białystok's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Zagłębie Lubin won 1, Jagiellonia Białystok won 6 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 23 May 2026, finished Jagiellonia Białystok 1–0 Zagłębie Lubin.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.28–1.34 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.