West Bromwich Albion vs Watford: predictions, H2H and market odds

West Bromwich Albion have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.40 expected goals for, 1.12 against). Watford have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.35 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of West Bromwich Albion's recent matches and 50% of Watford's; 50% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings West Bromwich Albion won 2, Watford won 3 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Apr 2026, finished West Bromwich Albion 3–0 Watford.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.41–0.94 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.