West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City: predictions, H2H and market odds

West Bromwich Albion have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.35 expected goals for, 1.21 against). Birmingham City have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.39 expected goals for, 1.21 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of West Bromwich Albion's recent matches and 90% of Birmingham City's; 40% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings West Bromwich Albion won 2, Birmingham City won 4 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 10 Feb 2026, finished Birmingham City 0–0 West Bromwich Albion.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 45%. Kepler's model projects 1.27–0.94 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54%.