Watford vs Stoke City head to head

In their last 8 meetings Watford won 4, Stoke City won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Stoke City 3–1 Watford.

4Wins

2Draws

2Wins

14 Mar 2026Stoke CityWatford313-1
20 Dec 2025WatfordStoke City101-0
1 Mar 2025Stoke CityWatford000-0
17 Aug 2024WatfordStoke City303-0
29 Dec 2023WatfordStoke City111-1
19 Aug 2023Stoke CityWatford101-0
8 May 2023WatfordStoke City202-0
2 Oct 2022Stoke CityWatford040-4

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Watford vs Stoke City predicted score

Expected goals

1.27–1.02

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	53%	55%
Over 2.5	51%	51%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Watford vs Stoke City odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.73	Betfair	54.8%
No	2.10	10Bet	45.2%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.93	Unibet	50.9%
Under 2.5	1.98	Pinnacle	49.1%

odds updated 10:21 UTC · 10 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Lewis Smith

England

Yellow cards: 2.8 per match
Red cards: 0.2 per match
Fouls: 20.0 per match
Penalties: 0.4 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in Championship

28 settled picks · ROI −15.3% · average CLV −3.35%

Full track record →