Watford vs Preston North End: predictions, H2H and market odds

Watford have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (1.18 expected goals for, 1.33 against). Preston North End have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.17 expected goals for, 1.33 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Watford's recent matches and 80% of Preston North End's; 40% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Watford won 1, Preston North End won 2 and 5 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Preston North End 2–2 Watford.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.38–1.05 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.