Watford vs Charlton Athletic: predictions, H2H and market odds

Watford have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.25 expected goals for, 1.67 against). Charlton Athletic have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 1.26 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Watford's recent matches and 60% of Charlton Athletic's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Watford won 0, Charlton Athletic won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 6 Apr 2026, finished Watford 1–1 Charlton Athletic.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 49%. Kepler's model projects 1.17–0.95 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.