Kepler

FixturesSerie A · Brazil · Round 28

Kick-off: Sun, 20 Sept 2026 · 19:00 UTCStadium: Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Vitória

1 – 3Full time

Cruzeiro

Vitória vs Cruzeiro head to head

In their last 7 meetings Vitória won 1, Cruzeiro won 3 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Apr 2026, finished Cruzeiro 3–0 Vitória.

1Wins

3Draws

3Wins

1 Apr 2026CruzeiroVitória303-0
1 Nov 2025CruzeiroVitória313-1
12 Jun 2025VitóriaCruzeiro000-0
19 Aug 2024VitóriaCruzeiro222-2
28 Apr 2024CruzeiroVitória313-1
14 Nov 2021VitóriaCruzeiro303-0
11 Aug 2021CruzeiroVitória222-2

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Vitória vs Cruzeiro predicted score

Expected goals

1.03–1.17

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	55%	57%
Over 2.5	51%	53%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Vitória vs Cruzeiro odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.66	bet365	57.1%
No	2.20	Betfair	42.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.87	Betfair	53.0%
Under 2.5	2.06	Pinnacle	47.0%

odds updated 18:38 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

Start 14-day free trial

Free for 14 days. Cancel any time.

Referee

Matheus Delgado Candançan

Brazil

Yellow cards: 3.3 per match
Red cards: 0.15 per match
Fouls: 23.2 per match
Penalties: 0.15 per match

Matches this season: 13

Kepler in Serie A

15 settled picks · ROI −39.4% · average CLV +2.45%

Full track record →