Villarreal vs Real Madrid: predictions, H2H and market odds

Villarreal have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.61 expected goals for, 0.99 against). Real Madrid have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (2.11 expected goals for, 1.16 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Villarreal's recent matches and 40% of Real Madrid's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 9 meetings Villarreal won 2, Real Madrid won 4 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 4 Oct 2025, finished Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal.