Kepler

FixturesSerie A · Brazil · Round 28

Kick-off: Sat, 19 Sept 2026 · 23:30 UTCStadium: Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, Rio de Janeiro

Vasco da Gama

5 – 0Full time

Coritiba

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba head to head

In their last 5 meetings Vasco da Gama won 2, Coritiba won 0 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Apr 2026, finished Coritiba 1–1 Vasco da Gama.

2Wins

3Draws

0Wins

1 Apr 2026CoritibaVasco da Gama111-1
21 Sept 2023Vasco da GamaCoritiba515-1
11 May 2023CoritibaVasco da Gama111-1
16 Oct 2021Vasco da GamaCoritiba212-1
14 Jul 2021CoritibaVasco da Gama111-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba predicted score

Expected goals

1.76–1.28

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	57%	46%
Over 2.5	58%	53%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	2.00	bet365	46.4%
No	1.85	WilliamHill	53.6%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.82	Sbo	53.2%
Under 2.5	2.06	Pinnacle	46.8%

odds updated 22:59 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Braulio da Silva Machado

Brazil

Yellow cards: 4.1 per match
Red cards: 0.14 per match
Fouls: 22.3 per match
Penalties: 0.57 per match

Matches this season: 7

Kepler in Serie A

15 settled picks · ROI −39.4% · average CLV +2.45%

Full track record →