Valencia vs FC Barcelona: predictions, H2H and market odds

Valencia have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 1.20 against). FC Barcelona have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.92 expected goals for, 0.98 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Valencia's recent matches and 40% of FC Barcelona's; 40% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Valencia won 1, FC Barcelona won 8 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 23 May 2026, finished Valencia 3–1 FC Barcelona.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 69%. Kepler's model projects 0.98–2.11 in expected goals, with 0–2 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.