TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV head to head

In their last 2 meetings TSG Hoffenheim won 2, Hamburger SV won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Hamburger SV 1–2 TSG Hoffenheim.

2Wins

0Draws

0Wins

25 Apr 2026Hamburger SVTSG Hoffenheim121-2
13 Dec 2025TSG HoffenheimHamburger SV414-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV predicted score

Expected goals

2.15–1.14

Most likely score

2–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	64%	63%
Over 2.5	68%	68%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.57	bet365	62.5%
No	2.50	Betfair	37.5%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.40	bet365	68.3%
Under 2.5	3.02	Pinnacle	31.7%

odds updated 13:05 UTC · 6 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Harm Osmers

Germany

Yellow cards: 2.0 per match
Red cards: 0.5 per match
Fouls: 22.0 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 2

Kepler in Bundesliga

1 settled picks · ROI −100.0% · average CLV −4.84%

Full track record →