Toulouse vs Le Havre: predictions, H2H and market odds

Toulouse have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.66 against). Le Havre have won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.42 expected goals for, 1.55 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Toulouse's recent matches and 60% of Le Havre's; 80% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Toulouse won 2, Le Havre won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Feb 2026, finished Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.53–0.88 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.