Lens vs Paris: predictions, H2H and market odds

Lens have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.87 expected goals for, 1.36 against). Paris have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.86 expected goals for, 1.12 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Lens's recent matches and 50% of Paris's; 70% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Lens won 2, Paris won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Paris 0–5 Lens.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.54–1.06 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.