Swindon Town vs Colchester United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Swindon Town have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.15 expected goals for, 1.57 against). Colchester United have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.58 expected goals for, 1.92 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Swindon Town's recent matches and 40% of Colchester United's; 80% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Swindon Town won 2, Colchester United won 4 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 10 Apr 2026, finished Colchester United 3–0 Swindon Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.45–1.20 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.