Gillingham vs Grimsby Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Gillingham have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 1.32 against). Grimsby Town have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.50 expected goals for, 1.35 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Gillingham's recent matches and 60% of Grimsby Town's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Gillingham won 1, Grimsby Town won 4 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Gillingham 1–4 Grimsby Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.20–1.31 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54%.