Swansea City vs Wrexham: predictions, H2H and market odds

Swansea City have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.79 expected goals for, 1.24 against). Wrexham have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.21 expected goals for, 1.47 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Swansea City's recent matches and 60% of Wrexham's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Swansea City won 1, Wrexham won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 13 Mar 2026, finished Wrexham 2–0 Swansea City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 47%. Kepler's model projects 1.53–1.30 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.