Swansea City vs Burnley: predictions, H2H and market odds

Swansea City have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.77 expected goals for, 1.21 against). Burnley have won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.13 expected goals for, 1.43 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Swansea City's recent matches and 90% of Burnley's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 4 meetings Swansea City won 0, Burnley won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Mar 2025, finished Swansea City 0–2 Burnley.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 0.88–1.30 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.