Sunderland vs Leeds United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sunderland have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.35 expected goals for, 1.11 against). Leeds United have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.20 expected goals for, 1.46 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Sunderland's recent matches and 60% of Leeds United's; 40% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 6 meetings Sunderland won 2, Leeds United won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 3 Mar 2026, finished Leeds United 0–1 Sunderland.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.