Stoke City vs Sheffield United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Stoke City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.49 against). Sheffield United have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 1.60 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Stoke City's recent matches and 70% of Sheffield United's; 70% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 8 meetings Stoke City won 2, Sheffield United won 6 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 29 Dec 2025, finished Stoke City 1–2 Sheffield United.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.14–1.26 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.