Stoke City vs Charlton Athletic: predictions, H2H and market odds

Stoke City have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (0.84 expected goals for, 1.45 against). Charlton Athletic have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.25 expected goals for, 1.37 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Stoke City's recent matches and 90% of Charlton Athletic's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Stoke City won 1, Charlton Athletic won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Charlton Athletic 1–0 Stoke City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 43%. Kepler's model projects 1.06–0.92 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.