Sport Recife vs Juventude: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sport Recife have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 0.91 against). Juventude have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.40 expected goals for, 0.90 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Sport Recife's recent matches and 30% of Juventude's; 60% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Sport Recife won 2, Juventude won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 23 May 2026, finished Juventude 0–1 Sport Recife.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 39%. Kepler's model projects 0.88–0.81 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.