Southampton vs Swansea City head to head

In their last 4 meetings Southampton won 3, Swansea City won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, finished Swansea City 1–2 Southampton.

3Wins

1Draws

0Wins

18 Apr 2026Swansea CitySouthampton121-2
18 Oct 2025SouthamptonSwansea City000-0
20 Jan 2024Swansea CitySouthampton131-3
26 Dec 2023SouthamptonSwansea City505-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Southampton vs Swansea City predicted score

Expected goals

1.95–1.06

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	65%	57%
Over 2.5	66%	55%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Southampton vs Swansea City odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.68	Unibet	57.1%
No	2.20	Betfair	42.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.80	10Bet	54.9%
Under 2.5	2.14	Pinnacle	45.1%

odds updated 16:09 UTC · 10 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Lewis Smith

England

Yellow cards: 2.8 per match
Red cards: 0.2 per match
Fouls: 20.0 per match
Penalties: 0.4 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in Championship

28 settled picks · ROI −15.3% · average CLV −3.35%

Full track record →