Shrewsbury Town vs Colchester United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Shrewsbury Town have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.13 expected goals for, 1.07 against). Colchester United have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.32 expected goals for, 1.92 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Shrewsbury Town's recent matches and 60% of Colchester United's; 30% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 2 meetings Shrewsbury Town won 0, Colchester United won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Colchester United 2–0 Shrewsbury Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. Kepler's model projects 0.89–1.25 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.