Sevilla vs FC Barcelona: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sevilla have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.17 against). FC Barcelona have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 3.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (2.35 expected goals for, 1.17 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Sevilla's recent matches and 50% of FC Barcelona's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Sevilla won 1, FC Barcelona won 8 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished FC Barcelona 5–2 Sevilla.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 72%. Kepler's model projects 1.06–2.31 in expected goals, with 1–2 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.