Sevilla vs Atlético de Madrid: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sevilla have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.09 expected goals for, 1.19 against). Atlético de Madrid have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.09 expected goals for, 1.47 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Sevilla's recent matches and 60% of Atlético de Madrid's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Sevilla won 3, Atlético de Madrid won 6 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Sevilla 2–1 Atlético de Madrid.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.