Sassuolo vs Juventus: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sassuolo have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.53 expected goals for, 1.22 against). Juventus have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (1.31 expected goals for, 0.94 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Sassuolo's recent matches and 30% of Juventus's; 70% and 10% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Sassuolo won 3, Juventus won 4 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Juventus 1–1 Sassuolo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 0.92–1.69 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.