Atalanta vs Frosinone: predictions, H2H and market odds

Atalanta have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.50 expected goals for, 1.66 against). Frosinone have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.58 expected goals for, 1.31 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Atalanta's recent matches and 30% of Frosinone's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Atalanta won 1, Frosinone won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Jan 2024, finished Atalanta 5–0 Frosinone.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%. Kepler's model projects 2.05–1.20 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.