Kepler

FixturesSerie A · Italy · Round 6

Kick-off: Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTCStadium: MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

Sassuolo

1 – 1Full time

AC Milan

Sassuolo vs AC Milan head to head

In their last 8 meetings Sassuolo won 3, AC Milan won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan.

3Wins

3Draws

2Wins

3 May 2026SassuoloAC Milan202-0
14 Dec 2025AC MilanSassuolo222-2
14 Apr 2024SassuoloAC Milan333-3
30 Dec 2023AC MilanSassuolo101-0
29 Jan 2023AC MilanSassuolo252-5
30 Aug 2022SassuoloAC Milan000-0
22 May 2022SassuoloAC Milan030-3
28 Nov 2021AC MilanSassuolo131-3

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan predicted score

Expected goals

1.14–1.80

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	60%	58%
Over 2.5	60%	55%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.73	WilliamHill	58.4%
No	2.25	Betfair	41.6%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.87	1xbet	54.8%
Under 2.5	2.14	Sbo	45.2%

odds updated 19:05 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Francesco Fourneau

Italy

Yellow cards: 4.3 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 25.3 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 3

Kepler in Serie A

12 settled picks · ROI +8.8% · average CLV +0.68%

Full track record →