Sarpsborg 08 vs Vålerenga: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sarpsborg 08 have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.36 expected goals for, 1.75 against). Vålerenga have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded (2.22 expected goals for, 2.00 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Sarpsborg 08's recent matches and 70% of Vålerenga's; 60% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 9 meetings Sarpsborg 08 won 3, Vålerenga won 4 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Vålerenga 3–2 Sarpsborg 08.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%. Kepler's model projects 2.12–1.45 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.