Molde vs Fredrikstad: predictions, H2H and market odds

Molde have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 3.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (2.89 expected goals for, 1.06 against). Fredrikstad have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.16 against).

Both teams scored in 90% of Molde's recent matches and 60% of Fredrikstad's; 90% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Molde won 1, Fredrikstad won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 13 Sept 2025, finished Molde 1–2 Fredrikstad.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. Kepler's model projects 1.90–0.99 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.