São Bernardo vs Criciúma: predictions, H2H and market odds

São Bernardo have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.17 expected goals for, 1.10 against). Criciúma have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (0.85 expected goals for, 1.36 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of São Bernardo's recent matches and 10% of Criciúma's; 40% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. Their only previous meeting in our data, on 27 Jun 2026, finished Criciúma 1–0 São Bernardo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%. Kepler's model projects 1.20–0.81 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51%.