Kepler

FixturesLiga Portugal · Portugal · Round 6

Kick-off: Mon, 14 Sept 2026 · 17:45 UTCStadium: Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde

Rio Ave

3 – 3Full time

Estrela Amadora

Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora head to head

In their last 6 meetings Rio Ave won 3, Estrela Amadora won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Rio Ave 2–1 Estrela Amadora.

3Wins

2Draws

1Wins

15 Mar 2026Rio AveEstrela Amadora212-1
25 Oct 2025Estrela AmadoraRio Ave121-2
5 May 2025Rio AveEstrela Amadora202-0
23 Dec 2024Estrela AmadoraRio Ave101-0
14 Apr 2024Estrela AmadoraRio Ave222-2
2 Dec 2023Rio AveEstrela Amadora111-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora predicted score

Expected goals

1.36–1.21

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	52%	53%
Over 2.5	43%	45%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Rio Ave vs Estrela Amadora odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.80	bet365	52.6%
No	2.00	Betfair	47.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.15	Pinnacle	45.0%
Under 2.5	1.80	10Bet	55.0%

odds updated 10:33 UTC · 10 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Gustavo Fernandes Correia

Portugal

Yellow cards: 4.4 per match
Red cards: 0.4 per match
Fouls: 22.4 per match
Penalties: 0.4 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in Liga Portugal

1 settled picks · ROI +83.0% · average CLV +2.15%

Full track record →