Kepler

FixturesLa Liga 2 · Spain · Round 14

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTCStadium: Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid

Real Valladolid

13:0014 Nov

Castellón

Real Valladolid vs Castellón predicted line-ups

Real Valladolid (4-3-3): Álvaro Aceves – Ramón Martínez, Miguel Rubio, David Torres, Carlos Clerc – Thiago Ojeda, Stanko Juric, Julien Ponceau – Tay Abed, Adrián Arnu, Víctor Fernández.

Castellón (4-4-2): Romain Matthys – Agustín Sienra, Alberto Jiménez, Jérémy Mellot, Pablo Santiago – Iñigo Córdoba, Jari Vlak, Diego Barri, Israel Suero – Álvaro Martín, Adam Jakobsen.

Out for Real Valladolid: Guille Bueno, Juanmi Latasa. Out for Castellón: Fabrizio Brignani, Fran Castillo, Matías Orozco.

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

FixturesLa Liga 2 · Spain · Round 14

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTCStadium: Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid

Real Valladolid

13:0014 Nov

Castellón

Real Valladolid vs Castellón predicted line-ups

Real Valladolid (4-3-3): Álvaro Aceves – Ramón Martínez, Miguel Rubio, David Torres, Carlos Clerc – Thiago Ojeda, Stanko Juric, Julien Ponceau – Tay Abed, Adrián Arnu, Víctor Fernández.

Castellón (4-4-2): Romain Matthys – Agustín Sienra, Alberto Jiménez, Jérémy Mellot, Pablo Santiago – Iñigo Córdoba, Jari Vlak, Diego Barri, Israel Suero – Álvaro Martín, Adam Jakobsen.

Out for Real Valladolid: Guille Bueno, Juanmi Latasa. Out for Castellón: Fabrizio Brignani, Fran Castillo, Matías Orozco.

Line-ups

Predicted

Predicted by our data provider from recent line-ups, injuries and suspensions. The confirmed line-ups replace it about an hour before kick-off.

Real Valladolid4-3-3

Coach · Francisco Escriba Segura

231Álvaro Aceves
245Ramón Martínez
2812Miguel Rubio
234David Torres
3418Carlos Clerc
238Ojeda
3024Stanko Juric
2521Ponceau
2223Abed
1919Adrián Arnu
1930Víctor Fernández
2813Matthys
274Sienra
335Alberto Jiménez
3222Mellot
2618Pablo Santiago
2914Iñigo Córdoba
2825Vlak
318Diego Barri
3210Israel Suero
2521Álvaro Martín
2716Jakobsen

Castellón4-4-2

Coach · Pablo Hernández

Francisco Escriba SeguraCoachPablo Hernández

Injured and suspended players

Real Valladolid

24Guille BuenoCruciate Ligament Tear · until 1 Dec
25Juanmi LatasaSprain · until 16 Nov

Castellón

28Fabrizio BrignaniCruciate Ligament Injury · until 22 Mar
29Fran CastilloHamstring Injury · until 16 Nov
18Matías OrozcoRed Card Suspension · until 15 Nov

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Real Valladolid vs Castellón predicted score

Expected goals

1.27–1.57

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	58%	60%
Over 2.5	54%	56%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Real Valladolid vs Castellón: dropping odds

Selection	Opening → now	Change
1X2 · Pinnacle
Real Valladolid	2.832.84	0%
Draw	3.573.72	+4%
Castellón	2.362.34	−1%
Over/under 1.5 · Pinnacle
Over 1.5	1.251.22	−2%
Under 1.5	3.924.28	+9%
Over/under 2.5 · Pinnacle
Over 2.5	1.821.72	−5%
Under 2.5	2.032.15	+6%
Over/under 3.5 · Pinnacle
Over 3.5	3.012.80	−7%
Under 3.5	1.381.43	+4%

Pinnacle’s price, or an exchange’s where Pinnacle has none: the first we stored, about 8 days before kick-off, and the latest hourly one.

All dropping odds →

No signal for this match yet

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Kepler in La Liga 2

36 settled picks · ROI +0.5% · average CLV +0.75%

Full track record →