Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: predictions, H2H and market odds

Real Sociedad have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.50 expected goals for, 2.03 against). Real Sociedad still have other matches before this one, starting with Levante on 25 October, so their figures here will update as those results come in. Rayo Vallecano have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.40 expected goals for, 1.59 against). Rayo Vallecano still have other matches before this one, starting with Elche on 24 October, so their figures here will update as those results come in.

Both teams scored in 70% of Real Sociedad's recent matches and 90% of Rayo Vallecano's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Real Sociedad won 3, Rayo Vallecano won 2 and 5 ended level. The most recent, on 26 Apr 2026, finished Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Sociedad.