Kick-off: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTCStadium: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

1 – 0Full time

Real Madrid vs Villarreal line-ups

Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois – Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konaté, Antonio Rüdiger, Álvaro Carreras – Federico Valverde , Aurélien Tchouaméni – Arda Güler, Jude Bellingham, Yan Diomande – Kylian Mbappé .

Villarreal (4-3-3): Péter Gulácsi – Sergi Cardona, Renato Veiga, Pau Navarro, Alex Freeman – Pape Gueye, Juan Foyth, Santi Comesaña – Alberto Moleiro, Ayoze Pérez, Ilias Akhomach.

Out for Real Madrid: Ferland Mendy , Raúl Asencio , Rodrygo , Éder Militão , Dean Huijsen. Out for Villarreal: Tajon Buchanan.

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

FixturesLa Liga · Spain · Round 8

Kick-off: Sat, 10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTCStadium: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Real Madrid

1 – 0Full time

Villarreal

Real Madrid vs Villarreal line-ups

Villarreal (4-3-3): Péter Gulácsi – Sergi Cardona, Renato Veiga, Pau Navarro, Alex Freeman – Pape Gueye, Juan Foyth, Santi Comesaña – Alberto Moleiro, Ayoze Pérez, Ilias Akhomach.

Out for Real Madrid: Ferland Mendy , Raúl Asencio , Rodrygo , Éder Militão , Dean Huijsen. Out for Villarreal: Tajon Buchanan.

Line-ups

Confirmed

As announced by the clubs.

Real Madrid4-2-3-1

Coach · José Mourinho

1Courtois
12Alexander-Arnold
16Konaté
22Rüdiger
18Álvaro Carreras
8Valverde
14Tchouaméni
15Arda Güler
5Bellingham
25Diomande
10Kylian Mbappé
25Gulácsi
23Sergi Cardona
12Renato Veiga
6Pau Navarro
3Freeman
18Gueye
8Foyth
14Santi Comesaña
10Alberto Moleiro
22Ayoze Pérez
11Ilias Akhomach

Villarreal4-3-3

Coach · Iñigo Pérez

José MourinhoCoach

Iñigo Pérez

RefereeIsidro Díaz de Mera Escuderos

Real Madrid

Bench

13Andriy LuninGK
26Sergio MestreGK
17Marc CucurellaDF
24Denzel DumfriesDF
6Eduardo CamavingaMF
20Bernardo SilvaMF
21Brahim DíazMF
27Thiago Pitarch MF
7Vinicius JuniorFW
9EndrickFW
19Carlos EspíFW

Out

Ferland Mendy Tendon Rupture · until 16 Nov
Raúl Asencio Leg Injury · until 1 Jan
Rodrygo Cruciate Ligament Injury · until 1 Jan
Éder Militão Thigh Muscle Strain · until 17 Oct
Dean HuijsenRed Card Suspension · until 11 Oct

Villarreal

Bench

1Luiz JúniorGK
2Logan CostaDF
15Santiago MouriñoDF
20Carlos RomeroDF
5Alassane DiattaMF
16Carlos MaciàMF
24Nathan SalibaMF
7Gerard Moreno FW
9Georges MikautadzeFW
21Tani OluwaseyiFW
27Nizar El JmiliFW
28Joselillo GaitánFW

Out

Tajon BuchananHamstring Injury · until 26 Oct

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal predicted score

Expected goals

2.45–1.13

Most likely score

2–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	65%	65%
Over 2.5	69%	77%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Real Madrid vs Villarreal odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.44	bet365	64.6%
No	2.75	WilliamHill	35.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.28	bet365	77.1%
Under 2.5	4.10	Betfair	22.9%

odds updated 18:05 UTC · 6 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Isidro Díaz de Mera Escuderos

Spain

Yellow cards: 6.0 per match
Red cards: 0.4 per match
Fouls: 20.6 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in La Liga

9 settled picks · ROI −38.9% · average CLV −0.07%

Full track record →