Kick-off: Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTCStadium: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

4 – 1Full time

Real Madrid vs Sevilla line-ups

Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois – Federico Valverde , Ibrahima Konaté, Dean Huijsen, Marc Cucurella – Arda Güler, Aurélien Tchouaméni – Endrick, Jude Bellingham, Yan Diomande – Kylian Mbappé .

Sevilla (4-2-3-1): Odysseas Vlachodimos – Gabriel Suazo , Kike Salas, Andrés Castrín, Juan Iglesias – Youssouf Fofana, Lucien Agoumé – Félix Correia, Peque Fernández, Rubén Vargas – Robbie Ure.

Out for Real Madrid: Ferland Mendy , Raúl Asencio , Rodrygo , Vinicius Junior. Out for Sevilla: Jon Guridi, Marcão, Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega, Isaac Romero.

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

FixturesLa Liga · Spain · Round 9

Kick-off: Sun, 18 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTCStadium: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Real Madrid

4 – 1Full time

Sevilla

Real Madrid vs Sevilla line-ups

Out for Real Madrid: Ferland Mendy , Raúl Asencio , Rodrygo , Vinicius Junior. Out for Sevilla: Jon Guridi, Marcão, Miguel Ángel Sierra Ortega, Isaac Romero.

Line-ups

Confirmed

As announced by the clubs.

Real Madrid4-2-3-1

Coach · José Mourinho

1Courtois
8Valverde
16Konaté
4Huijsen
17Marc Cucurella
15Arda Güler
14Tchouaméni
9Endrick
5Bellingham
25Diomande
10Kylian Mbappé
1Vlachodimos
17Gabriel Suazo
4Kike Salas
5Andrés Castrín
2Juan Iglesias
24Fofana
6Lucien Agoumé
20Félix Correia
10Peque Fernández
11Vargas
9Ure

Sevilla4-2-3-1

Coach · Luis García Plaza

José MourinhoCoach

Luis García Plaza

RefereeMateo Busquets Ferrer

Real Madrid

Bench

13Andriy LuninGK
31Javi NavarroGK
3Éder Militão DF
12Trent Alexander-ArnoldDF
18Álvaro CarrerasDF
22Antonio RüdigerDF
24Denzel DumfriesDF
6Eduardo CamavingaMF
20Bernardo SilvaMF
21Brahim DíazMF
27Thiago Pitarch MF
19Carlos EspíFW

Out

Ferland Mendy Tendon Rupture · until 16 Nov
Raúl Asencio Leg Injury · until 1 Jan
Rodrygo Cruciate Ligament Injury · until 1 Jan
Vinicius JuniorRed Card Suspension · until 27 Oct

Sevilla

Bench

13Francisco Javier González PérezGK
33Rafa RomeroGK
3Julio DíazDF
12Arouna SanganteDF
15Fábio CardosoDF
22José Ángel CarmonaDF
14Manu BuenoMF
27Nico GuillénMF
29Jesús CruzMF
7Alfon González FW
19Lucas StassinFW
21Chidera EjukeFW

Out

Jon GuridiMuscle Injury · until 2 Nov
MarcãoMuscle Injury · until 2 Nov
Miguel Ángel Sierra OrtegaUnknown Injury · until 1 Jan
Isaac RomeroIndirect Card Suspension · until 19 Oct

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla predicted score

Expected goals

2.58–0.76

Most likely score

2–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	52%	50%
Over 2.5	65%	68%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Real Madrid vs Sevilla odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.87	Betfair	50.0%
No	1.95	bet365	50.0%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.41	Pinnacle	67.7%
Under 2.5	3.00	bet365	32.3%

odds updated 18:04 UTC · 6 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Mateo Busquets Ferrer

Spain

Yellow cards: 3.8 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 21.2 per match
Penalties: 0.2 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in La Liga

7 settled picks · ROI −75.0% · average CLV +2.23%

Full track record →