Kick-off: Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 19:00 UTCStadium: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

4 – 1Full time

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano line-ups

Real Madrid (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois – Denzel Dumfries, Ibrahima Konaté, Antonio Rüdiger, Álvaro Carreras – Federico Valverde , Bernardo Silva – Yan Diomande, Jude Bellingham, Vinicius Junior – Kylian Mbappé .

Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1): Emil Audero – Adrià Pedrosa, Pathé Ciss, Florian Lejeune, Andrei Rațiu – Unai López, Gnangoro – Álvaro García, Pedro Díaz, Giorgi Tsitaishvili – Sergio Camello.

Out for Real Madrid: Ferland Mendy , Rodrygo , Éder Militão . Out for Rayo Vallecano: Augusto Batalla, Raúl de Tomás , Fran Pérez, Jorge de Frutos.

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

FixturesLa Liga · Spain · Round 5

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Sept 2026 · 19:00 UTCStadium: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Real Madrid

4 – 1Full time

Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano line-ups

Out for Real Madrid: Ferland Mendy , Rodrygo , Éder Militão . Out for Rayo Vallecano: Augusto Batalla, Raúl de Tomás , Fran Pérez, Jorge de Frutos.

Line-ups

Confirmed

As announced by the clubs.

Real Madrid4-2-3-1

Coach · José Mourinho

1Courtois
24Dumfries
16Konaté
22Rüdiger
18Álvaro Carreras
8Valverde
20Bernardo Silva
25Diomande
5Bellingham
7Vinicius Junior
10Kylian Mbappé
25Emil Audero
17Adrià Pedrosa
6Ciss
24Lejeune
2Andrei Rațiu
8Unai López
36Gnangoro
18Álvaro García
4Pedro Díaz
14Tsitaishvili
10Sergio Camello

Rayo Vallecano4-2-3-1

Coach · Beñat San José Gil

José MourinhoCoach

Beñat San José Gil

RefereeVíctor García Verdura

Real Madrid

Bench

13Andriy LuninGK
2Raúl Asencio DF
4Dean HuijsenDF
12Trent Alexander-ArnoldDF
17Marc CucurellaDF
6Eduardo CamavingaMF
14Aurélien Tchouaméni MF
15Arda GülerMF
21Brahim DíazMF
27Thiago Pitarch MF
9EndrickFW
19Carlos EspíFW

Out

Ferland Mendy Tendon Rupture · until 16 Nov
Rodrygo Cruciate Ligament Injury · until 1 Jan
Éder Militão Thigh Muscle Strain · until 17 Oct

Rayo Vallecano

Bench

1Dani CárdenasGK
30Adrián MolinaGK
3Marash KumbullaDF
15Mujaid SadickDF
20Iván BalliuDF
22Pelayo FernándezDF
26Marco de las SíasDF
23Óscar Valentín MF
28Samu BecerraMF
31Marco RománMF
9AlemãoFW
37Rayane BelaidFW

Out

Augusto BatallaBroken Leg · until 7 Dec
Raúl de Tomás Unknown Injury
Fran PérezRed Card Suspension · until 13 Sept
Jorge de FrutosRed Card Suspension · until 16 Sept

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano predicted score

Expected goals

2.24–0.65

Most likely score

2–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	51%	53%
Over 2.5	63%	72%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	2.05	10Bet	53.3%
No	2.00	Betfair	46.7%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.30	10Bet	72.1%
Under 2.5	4.10	Betfair	27.9%

odds updated 18:57 UTC · 9 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

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Referee

Víctor García Verdura

Spain

Yellow cards: 3.4 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 23.4 per match
Penalties: 0.4 per match

Matches this season: 5

Kepler in La Liga

9 settled picks · ROI −38.9% · average CLV −0.07%

Full track record →