Real Madrid vs Atlético de Madrid: predictions, H2H and market odds

Real Madrid have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.68 expected goals for, 0.93 against). Atlético de Madrid have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.63 expected goals for, 1.29 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Real Madrid's recent matches and 30% of Atlético de Madrid's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 9 meetings Real Madrid won 2, Atlético de Madrid won 3 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 27 Sept 2025, finished Atlético de Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid.