Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés: predictions, H2H and market odds

Rayo Vallecano have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.47 expected goals for, 1.53 against). Deportivo Alavés have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.44 expected goals for, 1.14 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Rayo Vallecano's recent matches and 70% of Deportivo Alavés's; 40% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Rayo Vallecano won 6, Deportivo Alavés won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 23 May 2026, finished Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Rayo Vallecano.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.