Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético de Madrid: predictions, H2H and market odds

Rayo Vallecano have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.16 expected goals for, 1.31 against). Atlético de Madrid have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.50 expected goals for, 0.98 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Rayo Vallecano's recent matches and 30% of Atlético de Madrid's; 50% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 9 meetings Rayo Vallecano won 0, Atlético de Madrid won 7 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 24 Sept 2025, finished Atlético de Madrid 3–2 Rayo Vallecano.