Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County: predictions, H2H and market odds

Queens Park Rangers have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.48 expected goals for, 1.22 against). Derby County have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.21 expected goals for, 1.94 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Queens Park Rangers's recent matches and 60% of Derby County's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Queens Park Rangers won 3, Derby County won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Queens Park Rangers 2–3 Derby County.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.