Queens Park Rangers vs Cardiff City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Queens Park Rangers have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.92 expected goals for, 1.41 against). Cardiff City have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.76 expected goals for, 1.77 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Queens Park Rangers's recent matches and 80% of Cardiff City's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Queens Park Rangers won 4, Cardiff City won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Apr 2025, finished Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Cardiff City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. Kepler's model projects 1.67–1.13 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.