Portsmouth vs Cardiff City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Portsmouth have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 1.37 against). Cardiff City have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.75 expected goals for, 1.81 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Portsmouth's recent matches and 80% of Cardiff City's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Portsmouth won 1, Cardiff City won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Feb 2025, finished Portsmouth 2–1 Cardiff City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.57–1.15 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.