Port Vale vs Grimsby Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Port Vale have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (0.98 expected goals for, 1.02 against). Grimsby Town have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.45 expected goals for, 1.10 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Port Vale's recent matches and 60% of Grimsby Town's; 30% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Port Vale won 0, Grimsby Town won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Apr 2025, finished Port Vale 2–2 Grimsby Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 49%. Kepler's model projects 1.29–1.09 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54%.