Ponte Preta vs São Bernardo: predictions, H2H and market odds

Ponte Preta have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.06 expected goals for, 1.95 against). São Bernardo have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.29 expected goals for, 1.09 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Ponte Preta's recent matches and 90% of São Bernardo's; 40% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Their only previous meeting in our data, on 3 May 2026, finished São Bernardo 3–0 Ponte Preta.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kepler's model projects 0.93–1.72 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.