Pogoń Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: predictions, H2H and market odds

Pogoń Szczecin have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.44 expected goals for, 1.42 against). Korona Kielce have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.43 expected goals for, 1.08 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Pogoń Szczecin's recent matches and 70% of Korona Kielce's; 30% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 8 meetings Pogoń Szczecin won 4, Korona Kielce won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 16 Mar 2026, finished Pogoń Szczecin 2–1 Korona Kielce.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 1.55–0.89 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.