Piast Gliwice vs Pogoń Szczecin: predictions, H2H and market odds

Piast Gliwice have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.55 expected goals for, 1.56 against). Pogoń Szczecin have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.38 expected goals for, 1.89 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Piast Gliwice's recent matches and 50% of Pogoń Szczecin's; 60% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Piast Gliwice won 2, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 13 Apr 2026, finished Piast Gliwice 0–2 Pogoń Szczecin.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.25–1.15 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.